UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Oezdemir
51%
Menifield
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Menifield
This is a genuine toss-up — Oezdemir at 49% vs Menifield at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Oezdemir throws more volume but Menifield connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oezdemir's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Menifield has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Oezdemir
Menifield
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
+76"
36+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oezdemir
Menifield
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
52.6
50.8
Performance Avg
51.6
47
Quality of Victory
44
52
Momentum Score
75
Oezdemir
Menifield
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Oezdemir
Menifield
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oezdemir
Menifield
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
8
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Oezdemir
Menifield
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
75
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Oezdemir
Menifield
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oezdemir
Menifield
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
OezdemirMenifield
Strike Zones
Oezdemir
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMenifield
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (92% of attacks) — Menifield absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Menifield targets the head (50% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oezdemir
RND
Menifield
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Oezdemir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Menifield · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Oezdemir · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4Decision
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W · KO · R1
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W · Sub · R1
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Menifield · Last 5
Upcoming
Zhang MingyangUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Oumar SyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Julius WalkerRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R2
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