UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Rio Rancho, USA
15 Feb 2020
Flyweight
VS
39%
Rosa
61%
Paiva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:42
MD
Mark De La Rosa
"Bumblebee"
11 – 5
5'6"65" reachOrthodox31 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
RP
Raulian Paiva
21 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Paiva

Paiva holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Rosa has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Paiva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rosa's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rosa
Paiva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
65"
Reach
+69"
31
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Paiva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.0
20.1
33.8
Performance Avg
38.1
37
Quality of Victory
35
33
Momentum Score
20
Rosa
Paiva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
31%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
19
7
Body
8
7
Leg
8
RangeRange
22Distance28
1Clinch6
0Ground1
Rosa
Paiva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rosa
Paiva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Rosa
Paiva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
20
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Rosa
Paiva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosa
Paiva
Striking0.6 / 4.2Volume4.6 / 6.2Grappling5.2 / 1.6Wrestling3.6 / 1.1Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Rosa
Strike Zones
Paiva
Rosa
Attacking
9HEAD7BODY7LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD8BODY8LEGS35 absorbed
Paiva
Attacking
19HEAD8BODY8LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD7BODY7LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (39% of attacks) — Paiva absorbs 39% of strikes there
🎯Paiva targets the head (54% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rosa
RND
Paiva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.2W4.5W6.8L6.4L2.8L5.5L2017-122018-112019-082020-06
WinLossTrend

Paiva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.4L4.0L5.2W4.5W5.2W3.0L5.5L2019-022020-022021-072022-06
WinLossTrend

Rosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jordan EspinosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Raulian PaivaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Alex PerezRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Joby SanchezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11

Paiva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergey MorozovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Zhalgas ZhumagulovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · KO · R2
Mark De La RosaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02

News & Media

Mark De La Rosa · Raulian Paiva
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