UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2023
Heavyweight
VS
61%
Tybura
39%
Ivanov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marcin
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
27 – 11
6'3"78" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
BI
Blagoy Ivanov
"Baga"
19 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'11"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tybura

Tybura holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Ivanov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tybura has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Tybura has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tybura
Ivanov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
73"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tybura
Ivanov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
27.2
45.2
Performance Avg
30.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
58
Momentum Score
50
Tybura
Ivanov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
53%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Tybura
Ivanov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tybura
Ivanov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/38 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Tybura
Ivanov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Tybura
Ivanov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tybura
Ivanov
Striking4.0 / 0.8Volume5.7 / 8.8Grappling1.9 / 2.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.7Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 1.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Tybura
Strike Zones
Ivanov
Tybura
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Ivanov
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Ivanov absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tybura
RND
Ivanov
0/0R00/0

Tybura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2L4.5W2.8L1.7L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L5.3W4.5W3.9L5.4W2.0L5.1W5.6W2.5L6.8L2016-042018-072020-122024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Ivanov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.5L4.5W4.9W6.7L5.7L5.1W5.9L6.3L2018-072019-062020-052023-022023-07
WinLossTrend

Tybura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

Ivanov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

News & Media

Marcin Tybura · Blagoy Ivanov
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