METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Stockholm, Sweden
14 Apr 2012
Welterweight
VS
38%
Thiago
62%
Bahadurzada
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:42
★ Official Result
Siyar BahadurzadawinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:42
def. Paulo Thiago · UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bahadurzada
→
Actual result
Bahadurzada wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Bahadurzada holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Thiago has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bahadurzada has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Bahadurzada has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Thiago's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThiagoBahadurzada
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
73"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
22.4
37.5
Performance Avg
52.2
37
Quality of Victory
54
39
Momentum Score
78
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.2
35%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
ThiagoBahadurzada
Strike Zones
Thiago
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBahadurzada
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bahadurzada targets the head (100% of attacks) — Thiago absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thiago
RND
Bahadurzada
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Thiago · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Bahadurzada · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Thiago · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Gasan UmalatovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 5.5Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
Bahadurzada · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Curtis MillenderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R2
Luan ChagasRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Rob WilkinsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Sub · R3
Brandon ThatchRating 5.5Submission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03