METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Stockholm, Sweden
14 Apr 2012
Welterweight
VS
38%
Thiago
62%
Bahadurzada
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:42
★ Official Result
Siyar BahadurzadawinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:42
def. Paulo Thiago · UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bahadurzada
→
Actual result
Bahadurzada wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Bahadurzada holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Thiago has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bahadurzada has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Thiago's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThiagoBahadurzada
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
73"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
22.4
37.5
Performance Avg
52.2
37
Quality of Victory
54
39
Momentum Score
78
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
4.0
Style: Pressure
8.5
5.6
Style: Volume
1.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thiago
Bahadurzada
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
ThiagoBahadurzada
Strike Zones
Thiago
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBahadurzada
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bahadurzada targets the head (100% of attacks) — Thiago absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thiago
RND
Bahadurzada
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Thiago · Last 5
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L · Dec · R3
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