UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Las Vegas, USA
15 Feb 2025
Middleweight
VS
58%
Vieira
42%
Petroski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vieira
This is a genuine toss-up — Vieira at 58% vs Petroski at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vieira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Vieira throws more volume but Petroski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Vieira's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petroski has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vieira
Petroski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Vieira
Petroski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
44.3
49.5
Performance Avg
45.2
46
Quality of Victory
34
91
Momentum Score
63
Vieira
Petroski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
55%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
11
0
Body
1
8
Leg
8
RangeRange
17Distance19
3Clinch0
0Ground1
Vieira
Petroski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
7.1
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
5.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
8.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
5
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vieira
Petroski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
10
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
13/19 fights
Vieira
Petroski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Vieira
Petroski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
38%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vieira
Petroski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
7.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
5.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
VieiraPetroski
Strike Zones
Vieira
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedPetroski
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vieira targets the head (60% of attacks) — Petroski absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Petroski targets the head (55% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vieira
RND
Petroski
0/0R00/0
Vieira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Petroski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Vieira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5Decision
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Cody BrundageRating 3.3KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Dylan BudkaRating 4.5Decision
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