UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
Anaheim, USA
23 Oct 2010
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Schaub
54%
Gonzaga
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BS
Brendan Schaub
"Big Brown"
10 – 5
6'4"78" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
GG
Gabriel Gonzaga
"Napao"
17 – 11
Striker47 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gonzaga

This is a genuine toss-up — Schaub at 46% vs Gonzaga at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Schaub throws more volume but Gonzaga connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Schaub's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gonzaga has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Schaub
Gonzaga
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
76"
43+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schaub
Gonzaga
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
18.6
49.2
Performance Avg
53.9
46
Quality of Victory
54
39
Momentum Score
59
Schaub
Gonzaga
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.2
39%
Strike Accuracy
48%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
13
1
Body
2
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Schaub
Gonzaga
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Schaub
Gonzaga
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
22/28 fights
Schaub
Gonzaga
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Schaub
Gonzaga
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
92%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Schaub
Gonzaga
Striking6.1 / 6.9Volume3.8 / 1.8Grappling2.1 / 2.9Wrestling1.5 / 2.0Submission1.7 / 3.3Pressure6.3 / 8.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.8
Schaub
Strike Zones
Gonzaga
Schaub
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Gonzaga
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Schaub targets the head (94% of attacks) — Gonzaga absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Gonzaga targets the head (72% of attacks) — Schaub absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Schaub
RND
Gonzaga
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Schaub · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W6.2L1.5L2009-122010-102012-042014-062014-12
WinLossTrend

Gonzaga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W2.8L2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W5.2W1.5L5.0W5.0W6.6L1.5L2.8L4.5W2.7L2005-112008-072012-012014-122016-04
WinLossTrend

Schaub · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Sub · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 5
Submission
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Lavar JohnsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · KO · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04

Gonzaga · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Konstantin ErokhinRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R3
Mirko FilipovicRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01

News & Media

Brendan Schaub · Gabriel Gonzaga
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