UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Las Vegas, USA
2 Aug 2025
Lightweight
VS
52%
Brener
48%
Ribovics
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Elves
Elves Brener
16 – 6
5'10"72" reachOrthodox28 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 51
Esteban
Esteban Ribovics
"El Gringo"
15 – 3
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'10"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brener

This is a genuine toss-up — Brener at 52% vs Ribovics at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Brener has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Ribovics has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Brener
Ribovics
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
69"
28+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brener
Ribovics
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
48.1
47.0
Performance Avg
43.1
45
Quality of Victory
34
52
Momentum Score
63
Brener
Ribovics
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
3.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
47%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
36
4
Body
10
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
34Distance49
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Brener
Ribovics
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brener
Ribovics
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Brener
Ribovics
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Brener
Ribovics
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brener
Ribovics
Striking7.7 / 3.6Volume3.7 / 7.1Grappling0.8 / 1.8Wrestling0.6 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.2 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Brener
Strike Zones
Ribovics
Brener
Attacking
28HEAD4BODY2LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
36HEAD10BODY3LEGS49 absorbed
Ribovics
Attacking
36HEAD10BODY3LEGS49 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD4BODY2LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brener targets the head (82% of attacks) — Ribovics absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Ribovics targets the head (73% of attacks) — Brener absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brener
RND
Ribovics
0/0R00/0

Brener · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W5.6W5.0W7.1L5.3L6.2L2023-022023-072023-112024-052024-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Ribovics · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.0L4.5W6.5W4.9W6.2L5.3W3.8L2023-032024-052025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Brener · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R3
Joel AlvarezRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Kaynan KruschewskyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · KO · R3
Guram KutateladzeRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

Ribovics · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Elves Brener · Esteban Ribovics
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