UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Manchester, United Kingdom
8 Oct 2016
Lightweight
VS
5%
Sajewski
95%
Diakiese
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Diakiese
Diakiese is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diakiese has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Striking split: Sajewski throws more volume but Diakiese connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sajewski's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diakiese has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sajewski
Diakiese
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sajewski
Diakiese
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.8
37.3
0.0
Performance Avg
41.2
0
Quality of Victory
33
0
Momentum Score
88
Sajewski
Diakiese
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
36%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
32
5
Body
5
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance30
0Clinch12
0Ground0
Sajewski
Diakiese
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sajewski
Diakiese
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
56
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/16 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Sajewski
Diakiese
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
88
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Sajewski
Diakiese
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sajewski
Diakiese
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
SajewskiDiakiese
Strike Zones
Sajewski
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedDiakiese
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sajewski targets the head (50% of attacks) — Diakiese absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Diakiese targets the head (76% of attacks) — Sajewski absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sajewski
RND
Diakiese
0/0R00/0
Sajewski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Diakiese · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Sajewski · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Marc DiakieseRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Nick HeinRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
Diakiese · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kaue FernandesRating 6.1Decision
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L · Sub · R2
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L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
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