UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Buffalo, USA
8 Apr 2017
Middleweight
VS
68%
Weidman
32%
Mousasi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Weidman
Weidman holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Mousasi has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mousasi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Weidman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mousasi has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Weidman
Mousasi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
76"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Weidman
Mousasi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.1
23.5
57.0
Performance Avg
59.2
55
Quality of Victory
49
51
Momentum Score
100
Weidman
Mousasi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.0
48%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
18
1
Body
4
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
3Distance16
0Clinch10
0Ground2
Weidman
Mousasi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weidman
Mousasi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/24 fights
Chin rating based on
12/48 fights
Weidman
Mousasi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
100
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Weidman
Mousasi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weidman
Mousasi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
WeidmanMousasi
Strike Zones
Weidman
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedMousasi
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weidman targets the head (67% of attacks) — Mousasi absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Mousasi targets the head (64% of attacks) — Weidman absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weidman
RND
Mousasi
0/0R00/0
Weidman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Mousasi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Weidman · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
Mousasi · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
