Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Lorenz Larkin — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero

Hollywood, USA

27 Jun 2015

Welterweight

67%

Ponzinibbio

33%

Larkin

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 2 · 3:07

Santiago Ponzinibbio

"Argentine Dagger"

31 – 9

6'0"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideStriker

CFR 41

Lorenz Larkin

"The Monsoon"

18 – 6

Striker2-fight win streak40 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"

CFR 21

★ Official Result

Lorenz LarkinwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:07

def. Santiago Ponzinibbio · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Ponzinibbio

→

Actual result

Larkin wins

KO/TKO · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Ponzinibbio holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Larkin has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

PonzinibbioLarkin

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Ponzinibbio

Larkin

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'0"+

Height

5'11"

73"+

Reach

72"

39+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Ponzinibbio

Larkin

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

40.9

20.5

49.4

Performance Avg

47.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Ponzinibbio

Larkin

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.0

/ 10

7.0

/ 10

5.8

Style: Pressure

5.7

4.5

Style: Volume

4.2

7 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

18Distance22

1Clinch4

0Ground11

Ponzinibbio

Larkin

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.0

/ 10

1.0

/ 10

0.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Ponzinibbio

Larkin

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.2 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

6 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

21/40 fights

Chin rating based on

10/24 fights

Ponzinibbio

Larkin

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

L · KO · R2

L · KO · R3

W · KO · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R3

Last 5

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

Ponzinibbio

Larkin

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

58%

60%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ponzinibbio

Larkin

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

7.0

1.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.0

0.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.7

4.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.2

Ponzinibbio

Strike Zones

Larkin

Ponzinibbio

Attacking

19 landed

Absorbing

37 absorbed

Larkin

Attacking

37 landed

Absorbing

19 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (63% of attacks) — Larkin absorbs 63% of strikes there

🎯Larkin targets the head (78% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ponzinibbio

RND

Larkin

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Ponzinibbio · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Sam Patterson

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07

L · KO · R3

Daniel Rodriguez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

W · KO · R3

Carlston Harris

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

L · Dec · R3

Muslim Salikhov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

L · KO · R3

Kevin Holland

KO/TKO

UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

Larkin · Last 5

W · KO · R1

Neil Magny

KO/TKO

UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08

W · Dec · R3

Jorge Masvidal

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05

L · Dec · R3

Albert Tumenov

Decision

UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01

W · KO · R2

Santiago Ponzinibbio

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06

W · KO · R1

John Howard

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Santiago Ponzinibbio · Lorenz Larkin

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