UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Albany, USA
9 Dec 2016
Women's Strawweight
VS
21%
Lima
79%
Aldrich
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aldrich
Aldrich is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aldrich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Aldrich has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lima
Aldrich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
44
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lima
Aldrich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
47.4
35.6
Performance Avg
42.5
31
Quality of Victory
28
35
Momentum Score
80
Lima
Aldrich
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
8
Body
6
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance4
12Clinch5
0Ground0
Lima
Aldrich
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lima
Aldrich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
17/22 fights
Lima
Aldrich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Lima
Aldrich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
9%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lima
Aldrich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
LimaAldrich
Strike Zones
Lima
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedAldrich
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lima targets the head (38% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Aldrich targets the body (67% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lima
RND
Aldrich
0/0R00/0
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Aldrich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Lima · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Sub · R2
Tecia PenningtonRating 3.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaRating 5.8Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Ericka AlmeidaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
Aldrich · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 5.5Decision
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W · KO · R2
Liang NaRating 5.2KO/TKO
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