UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn
Anaheim, USA
23 Sept 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
44%
Evans
56%
Lambert
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:22
RE
Rashad Evans
"Suga"
19 – 8
6'0"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
JL
Jason Lambert
"The Punisher"
26 – 13
Knockout Artist3-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lambert

This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 44% vs Lambert at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lambert has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lambert has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Evans
Lambert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
75"
46+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Lambert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
19.4
53.1
Performance Avg
53.6
46
Quality of Victory
56
25
Momentum Score
59
Evans
Lambert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
2.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
59%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch1
13Ground0
Evans
Lambert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Lambert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
22
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
8/39 fights
Evans
Lambert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
59
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Evans
Lambert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Evans
Lambert
Striking5.6 / 8.5Volume5.8 / 1.0Grappling1.4 / 2.0Wrestling1.0 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure4.9 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Evans
Strike Zones
Lambert
Evans
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Lambert
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (93% of attacks) — Lambert absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Lambert targets the head (50% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Evans
RND
Lambert
0/0R00/0

Evans · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.2W2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W7.3L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L1.9L5.5L5.5L2.7L2005-112008-092012-012016-042018-06
WinLossTrend

Lambert · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.2W2.8L1.5L2.8L2006-032006-062007-032008-062008-09
WinLossTrend

Evans · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

Lambert · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jason MacDonaldRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
Luiz CaneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Wilson GouveiaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 80: Rapid Fire · 2008-01
W · KO · R2
Renato SobralRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09

News & Media

Rashad Evans · Jason Lambert
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