★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2011
Middleweight
VS
54%
Silva
46%
Belfort
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 54% vs Belfort at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Belfort throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Belfort has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Belfort
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
51
Age
+49
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Belfort
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.5
21.9
71.6
Performance Avg
59.2
72
Quality of Victory
59
100
Momentum Score
91
Silva
Belfort
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
63%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
11 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
0
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance5
1Clinch1
2Ground0
Silva
Belfort
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Belfort
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/45 fights
Chin rating based on
26/40 fights
Silva
Belfort
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Silva
Belfort
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
87%
11
KO / TKO Wins
11
3
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Belfort
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.7
SilvaBelfort
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedBelfort
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (67% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Belfort targets the head (67% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Belfort
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Belfort · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Uriah HallRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 4.8Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Daniel CormierRating 5.5Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Belfort · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin GastelumUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05