UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Philadelphia, USA
6 Aug 2011
Welterweight
VS
52%
Hendricks
48%
Pierce
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JH
Johny Hendricks
"Bigg Rigg"
18 – 8
5'9"69" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
MP
Mike Pierce
17 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hendricks

This is a genuine toss-up — Hendricks at 52% vs Pierce at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Pierce throws more volume but Hendricks connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hendricks
Pierce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+71"
42+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hendricks
Pierce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
16.5
48.2
Performance Avg
48.0
39
Quality of Victory
37
80
Momentum Score
38
Hendricks
Pierce
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
8
3
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
4Clinch5
0Ground3
Hendricks
Pierce
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hendricks
Pierce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Hendricks
Pierce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
38
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Hendricks
Pierce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
44%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hendricks
Pierce
Striking5.1 / 4.6Volume6.2 / 5.7Grappling1.5 / 2.2Wrestling1.0 / 1.6Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure4.5 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Hendricks
Strike Zones
Pierce
Hendricks
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Pierce
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pierce absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Pierce targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hendricks
RND
Pierce
0/0R00/0

Hendricks · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.8W5.8L4.9W2.1L5.8L6.1L4.5W2.8L3.8L2009-082011-082014-032017-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Pierce · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W1.5L5.5L2009-092011-022012-062013-102015-12
WinLossTrend

Hendricks · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07

Pierce · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
David MitchellRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Seth BaczynskiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10

News & Media

Johny Hendricks · Mike Pierce
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