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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Jacksonville, USA
13 May 2020
Lightweight
VS
48%
Johnson
52%
Moises
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:25
Michael
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
25 – 20
5'10"73" reachSouthpaw40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Thiago
Thiago Moises
19 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 40
★ Official Result
Thiago MoiseswinsSubmissionR2 · 0:25
def. Michael Johnson · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moises
→
Actual result
Moises wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 48% vs Moises at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Johnson throws more volume but Moises connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moises has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonMoises
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Moises
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
40
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Moises
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
39.7
42.5
Performance Avg
42.7
38
Quality of Victory
38
35
Momentum Score
39
Johnson
Moises
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.9
39%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Johnson
Moises
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Moises
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/45 fights
Chin rating based on
16/29 fights
Johnson
Moises
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
39
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Johnson
Moises
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
3
10
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Moises
Striking4.8 / 2.3Volume6.0 / 5.0Grappling1.5 / 4.2Wrestling1.1 / 2.9Submission0.0 / 3.8Pressure4.1 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Johnson
Strike Zones
Moises
Johnson
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Moises
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Moises
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W6.5L5.5L6.3W4.0L3.7L3.2L5.2W4.5W4.1L5.5L3.0L6.0L5.2W5.7L4.6W3.8L5.3W6.0W4.9W4.0L2010-122013-082017-072022-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Moises · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.5L4.5W5.5L5.3W5.2W5.4W5.3L2.8L5.2W6.5W4.5L5.5W6.7L4.6W1.9L6.1L2018-112020-102022-062024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

Moises · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Jared GordonRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Mitch RamirezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

News & Media

Michael Johnson · Thiago Moises
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