METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Goiania, Brazil
30 May 2015
Welterweight
VS
57%
Condit
43%
Alves
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Carlos ConditwinsR2 · 5:00
def. Thiago Alves · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Condit
→
Actual result
Condit wins
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Condit at 57% vs Alves at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Alves has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Condit's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alves has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ConditAlves
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Condit
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Condit
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.3
16.5
47.8
Performance Avg
47.3
48
Quality of Victory
42
20
Momentum Score
63
Condit
Alves
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
41
Head
5
9
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
25Distance11
4Clinch0
22Ground0
Condit
Alves
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Condit
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
6
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/46 fights
Chin rating based on
27/38 fights
Condit
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
63
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Condit
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
53%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Condit
Alves
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
ConditAlves
Strike Zones
Condit
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedAlves
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Condit targets the head (80% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the head (45% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Condit
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Condit · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Alves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Condit · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaRating 3.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
Alves · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis MillenderRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02