METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Goiania, Brazil
30 May 2015
Welterweight
VS
46%
Condit
54%
Alves
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Carlos ConditwinsR2 · 5:00
def. Thiago Alves · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alves
→
Actual result
Condit wins
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Condit at 46% vs Alves at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Condit's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alves has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ConditAlves
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Condit
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Condit
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
16.5
47.8
Performance Avg
47.3
48
Quality of Victory
42
20
Momentum Score
63
Condit
Alves
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
5.4
4.5
Style: Volume
4.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
41
Head
5
9
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
25Distance11
4Clinch0
22Ground0
Condit
Alves
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Condit
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
6
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/46 fights
Chin rating based on
27/38 fights
Condit
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
63
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Condit
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
53%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Condit
Alves
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
ConditAlves
Strike Zones
Condit
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedAlves
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Condit targets the head (80% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the head (45% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Condit
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
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