UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Chicago, USA
16 Aug 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
55%
Silva
45%
Barbosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Karine
Karine Silva
"Killer"
19 – 7
5'5"67" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 59
Dione
Dione Barbosa
"The Witch"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 55% vs Barbosa at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Barbosa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Silva
Barbosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
67"+
Reach
66"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Barbosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.1
49.0
50.4
Performance Avg
44.8
42
Quality of Victory
35
77
Momentum Score
55
Silva
Barbosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
48%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
1
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
1Clinch2
0Ground1
Silva
Barbosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Barbosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/26 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Silva
Barbosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
77
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Barbosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Barbosa
Striking1.3 / 1.2Volume4.5 / 6.5Grappling5.8 / 4.3Wrestling4.0 / 3.0Submission6.0 / 3.3Pressure6.1 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Silva
Strike Zones
Barbosa
Silva
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD6BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Barbosa
Attacking
3HEAD6BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (57% of attacks) — Barbosa absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Barbosa targets the body (67% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Barbosa
0/0R00/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.0W5.4W5.6W4.5W6.2L5.2W6.5L6.4L2022-062023-082024-112025-122026-04
WinLossTrend

Barbosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W6.3L5.0W6.7L5.4W2024-052024-072025-042025-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Ariane da SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

Barbosa · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Melissa GattoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Ernesta KareckaiteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

News & Media

Karine Silva · Dione Barbosa
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