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UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
Moscow, Russia
15 Sept 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
44%
Blachowicz
56%
Krylov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 Β· 2:41
Jan
Jan Blachowicz
29 – 11
6'2"78" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Nikita
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
31 – 11
Pressure Fighter34 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 60
β˜… Official Result
Jan BlachowiczwinsSubmissionR2 Β· 2:41
def. Nikita Krylov Β· UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Krylov
β†’
Actual result
Blachowicz wins
Submission Β· R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Blachowicz at 44% vs Krylov at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Krylov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Blachowicz's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Krylov has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BlachowiczKrylov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Blachowicz
Krylov
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
78"+
Reach
77"
43
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blachowicz
Krylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
59.8
53.0
Performance Avg
52.7
48
Quality of Victory
50
20
Momentum Score
100
Blachowicz
Krylov
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.3
2.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
60%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Blachowicz
Krylov
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blachowicz
Krylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
22/40 fights
Chin rating based on
22/42 fights
Blachowicz
Krylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
20
100
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
Upcoming
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Upcoming
W Β· KO Β· R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Blachowicz
Krylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
83%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
5
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Blachowicz
Krylov
Striking5.4 / 5.3Volume4.5 / 2.5Grappling2.3 / 3.7Wrestling1.6 / 2.6Submission1.7 / 4.2Pressure5.9 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.2
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Blachowicz
Strike Zones
Krylov
Blachowicz
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Krylov
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Krylov absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Blachowicz
RND
Krylov
0/0R00/0

Blachowicz Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.2W5.5W4.5W6.5W2.8L5.3W4.5W5.0W6.2W5.9W2.5L5.4W7.6L7.4L2014-102017-042019-022021-032025-03
WinLossTrend

Krylov Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L5.0W2.1L5.0W5.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W1.5L3.3L5.8W5.9L5.3W7.0L2.2L5.0W5.3W5.4W2.5L3.5L6.3W2013-082016-052020-032025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Blachowicz Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Bogdan Guskov
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Β· 2025-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady Β· 2025-03
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 Β· 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed Ankalaev
Decision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev Β· 2022-12
W Β· KO Β· R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic Β· 2022-05

Krylov Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Robert Whittaker
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Β· 2026-07
W Β· KO Β· R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett Β· 2026-01
L Β· KO Β· R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder Β· 2025-07
L Β· KO Β· R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes Β· 2025-04
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Ryan SpannRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili Β· 2023-03

News & Media

Jan Blachowicz Β· Nikita Krylov
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