UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
23 Oct 2021
Middleweight
VS
46%
Park
54%
Rodrigues
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodrigues
This is a genuine toss-up — Park at 46% vs Rodrigues at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodrigues has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Rodrigues throws more volume but Park connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Park's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodrigues has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Park
Rodrigues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Park
Rodrigues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
66.6
47.9
Performance Avg
59.3
34
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
100
Park
Rodrigues
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
32
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
36Distance33
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Park
Rodrigues
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Park
Rodrigues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/25 fights
Park
Rodrigues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Park
Rodrigues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
70%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Park
Rodrigues
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
ParkRodrigues
Strike Zones
Park
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedRodrigues
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Park targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (91% of attacks) — Park absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Park
RND
Rodrigues
0/0R00/0
Park · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Rodrigues · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Park · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ikram AliskerovRating 7.2Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
Rodrigues · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 6.6KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5.5Decision
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W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Jared CannonierRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 6Decision
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