UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2007
Welterweight
VS
51%
Hazelett
49%
Goulet
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:14
JG
CFR 18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hazelett
This is a genuine toss-up — Hazelett at 51% vs Goulet at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Hazelett throws more volume but Goulet connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hazelett's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Goulet has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hazelett
Goulet
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
73"
40+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hazelett
Goulet
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
17.6
48.4
Performance Avg
41.6
47
Quality of Victory
40
69
Momentum Score
100
Hazelett
Goulet
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hazelett
Goulet
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
6.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
4.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hazelett
Goulet
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Hazelett
Goulet
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Hazelett
Goulet
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hazelett
Goulet
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
6.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
4.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
HazelettGoulet
Strike Zones
Hazelett
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedGoulet
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hazelett targets the head (100% of attacks) — Goulet absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hazelett
RND
Goulet
0/0R00/0
Hazelett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Goulet · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Hazelett · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mark BocekRating 1.5Submission
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · KO · R2
Rick StoryRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
L · KO · R1
Paul DaleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva · 2010-01
W · Sub · R1
Tamdan McCroryRating 5Submission
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
W · Sub · R2
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.2Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
Goulet · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Marcus DavisRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mike SwickRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · KO · R2
Kuniyoshi HironakaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Paul GeorgieffRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12
L · Sub · R1
Dustin HazelettRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09