METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
52%
Carnelossi
48%
Godinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Loopy GodinezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ariane Carnelossi · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Carnelossi
→
Actual result
Godinez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Carnelossi at 52% vs Godinez at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Carnelossi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Carnelossi's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CarnelossiGodinez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Carnelossi
Godinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
5'2"
61"
Reach
61"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Carnelossi
Godinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.7
44.1
42.6
Performance Avg
42.6
43
Quality of Victory
31
52
Momentum Score
49
Carnelossi
Godinez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
3.4
0.9
Style: Volume
7.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
0
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
2Clinch6
2Ground11
Carnelossi
Godinez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Carnelossi
Godinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
78
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Carnelossi
Godinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Carnelossi
Godinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
22%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Carnelossi
Godinez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
CarnelossiGodinez
Strike Zones
Carnelossi
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedGodinez
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Carnelossi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Godinez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Godinez targets the head (76% of attacks) — Carnelossi absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Carnelossi
RND
Godinez
0/0R00/0
Carnelossi · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ketlen SouzaKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R3
Talita AlencarSubmission
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W · R2
Piera RodriguezUFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Sub · R3
Istela NunesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
Godinez · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Tatiana SuarezSubmission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
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