UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
55%
Carnelossi
45%
Godinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ariane
Ariane Carnelossi
"Sorriso"
15 – 4
5'2"61" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Loopy
Loopy Godinez
14 – 6
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox61" reach5'2"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Carnelossi

This is a genuine toss-up — Carnelossi at 55% vs Godinez at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Carnelossi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Godinez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Carnelossi
Godinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
5'2"
61"
Reach
61"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Carnelossi
Godinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
44.2
47.1
Performance Avg
42.7
45
Quality of Victory
31
65
Momentum Score
49
Carnelossi
Godinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.8
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
0
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
2Clinch6
2Ground11
Carnelossi
Godinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Carnelossi
Godinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Carnelossi
Godinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
49
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Carnelossi
Godinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
22%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Carnelossi
Godinez
Striking4.3 / 1.2Volume1.0 / 7.4Grappling2.7 / 3.6Wrestling1.9 / 2.5Submission3.3 / 2.2Pressure6.2 / 3.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
Carnelossi
Strike Zones
Godinez
Carnelossi
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Godinez
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Carnelossi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Godinez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Godinez targets the head (76% of attacks) — Carnelossi absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Carnelossi
RND
Godinez
0/0R00/0

Carnelossi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.6L5.2W5.5W6.0L5.0W5.2L2019-092021-042021-102022-052024-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Godinez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.6L5.0W6.1L5.4W5.5W5.6L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W6.2L6.7L5.1W5.3W4.6L2021-042022-052023-092025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Carnelossi · Last 5

Upcoming
Ketlen Souza
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Sub · R3
Talita AlencarRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · R2
Piera RodriguezRating 5
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Sub · R3
Istela NunesRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10

Godinez · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Tatiana SuarezRating 4.6
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

News & Media

Ariane Carnelossi · Loopy Godinez
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