UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fortaleza, Brazil
8 Jun 2013
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Nogueira
51%
Werdum
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:41
AR
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
"Minotauro"
34 – 10
6'3"77" reachOrthodox49 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
FW
Fabricio Werdum
"Vai Cavalo"
24 – 9
Well-Rounded48 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Werdum

This is a genuine toss-up — Nogueira at 49% vs Werdum at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Werdum has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nogueira's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Werdum has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nogueira
Werdum
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
49
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nogueira
Werdum
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
20.4
49.3
Performance Avg
57.8
52
Quality of Victory
52
91
Momentum Score
72
Nogueira
Werdum
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
53%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
1Distance11
2Clinch0
0Ground2
Nogueira
Werdum
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nogueira
Werdum
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/44 fights
Chin rating based on
18/33 fights
Nogueira
Werdum
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Nogueira
Werdum
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nogueira
Werdum
Striking2.9 / 4.7Volume4.1 / 4.0Grappling4.2 / 3.5Wrestling2.9 / 2.4Submission4.0 / 3.3Pressure5.6 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Nogueira
Strike Zones
Werdum
Nogueira
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY6LEGS13 absorbed
Werdum
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY6LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nogueira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Werdum absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Werdum targets the head (54% of attacks) — Nogueira absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nogueira
RND
Werdum
0/0R00/0

Nogueira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0104.5W5.2W2.1L4.5W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.2W2.1L1.5L5.5L2007-072009-082011-122014-042015-08
WinLossTrend

Werdum · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.2L5.2W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.1W4.5W5.1W5.2W2.6L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.9W4.6L5.5L5.0W2007-042012-062016-052018-032020-07
WinLossTrend

Nogueira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
L · Sub · R2
Fabricio WerdumRating 2.1
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Sub · R2
Dave HermanRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12

Werdum · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkovRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
W · Sub · R1
Walt HarrisRating 5
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10

News & Media

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira · Fabricio Werdum
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