METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Flyweight
VS
53%
Almabayev
47%
Ochoa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Asu AlmabayevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jose Ochoa · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Almabayev
→
Actual result
Almabayev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Almabayev at 53% vs Ochoa at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlmabayevOchoa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Almabayev
Ochoa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+67"
32
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Almabayev
Ochoa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.7
53.3
55.5
Performance Avg
44.0
34
Quality of Victory
40
83
Momentum Score
69
Almabayev
Ochoa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
5.0
6.3
Style: Volume
5.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
1
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance5
1Clinch6
2Ground0
Almabayev
Ochoa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Almabayev
Ochoa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Almabayev
Ochoa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
69
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Almabayev
Ochoa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almabayev
Ochoa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
AlmabayevOchoa
Strike Zones
Almabayev
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedOchoa
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almabayev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ochoa absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Ochoa targets the head (45% of attacks) — Almabayev absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almabayev
RND
Ochoa
0/0R00/0
Almabayev · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Charles JohnsonSubmission
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W · Sub · R3
Alex PerezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jose OchoaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Matheus NicolauDecision
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Ochoa · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Clayton CarpenterDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Asu AlmabayevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Cody DurdenKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Lone'er KavanaghDecision
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