UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Boston, USA
20 Jan 2018
Bantamweight
VS
24%
Almeida
76%
Font
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Font
Font is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Almeida throws more volume but Font connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Almeida's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Almeida
Font
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
34+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Almeida
Font
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
59.4
50.6
Performance Avg
49.1
51
Quality of Victory
44
59
Momentum Score
91
Almeida
Font
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
46%
9.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
19
2
Body
4
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance10
0Clinch9
0Ground4
Almeida
Font
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Almeida
Font
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
21/32 fights
Almeida
Font
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
91
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Almeida
Font
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
58%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Font
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
AlmeidaFont
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedFont
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Font absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Font targets the head (83% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Font
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Font · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Almeida · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Rob FontRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · KO · R2
Albert MoralesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Font · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 7.1Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12