UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Halifax, Canada
4 Oct 2014
Lightweight
VS
51%
Cruickshank
49%
Njokuani
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DC
CFR 16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cruickshank
This is a genuine toss-up — Cruickshank at 51% vs Njokuani at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Njokuani has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cruickshank's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cruickshank
Njokuani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+75"
40+
Age
46
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Cruickshank
Njokuani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
15.0
44.5
Performance Avg
36.0
41
Quality of Victory
35
48
Momentum Score
50
Cruickshank
Njokuani
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
37%
Strike Accuracy
48%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
3
Body
4
2
Leg
8
RangeRange
9Distance15
0Clinch1
7Ground0
Cruickshank
Njokuani
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cruickshank
Njokuani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
90
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
8/28 fights
Cruickshank
Njokuani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cruickshank
Njokuani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cruickshank
Njokuani
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
CruickshankNjokuani
Strike Zones
Cruickshank
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedNjokuani
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cruickshank targets the head (69% of attacks) — Njokuani absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Njokuani targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Cruickshank absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cruickshank
RND
Njokuani
0/0R00/0
Cruickshank · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Njokuani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Cruickshank · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Paul FelderRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
James KrauseRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · Sub · R2
Beneil DariushRating 3.7Submission
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
Upcoming
KJ NoonsThe Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
W · Dec · R3
Anthony NjokuaniRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
Njokuani · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelRating 5.7Decision
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
W · KO · R2
Roger BowlingRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04