UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
Las Vegas, USA
29 Apr 2023
Catch Weight
VS
20%
Newson
80%
McGhee
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McGhee
McGhee is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McGhee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
McGhee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Newson's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Newson
McGhee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+69"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Newson
McGhee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
68.4
23.0
Performance Avg
60.4
25
Quality of Victory
47
15
Momentum Score
87
Newson
McGhee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
0
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch2
0Ground1
Newson
McGhee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Newson
McGhee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Newson
McGhee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
87
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Newson
McGhee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Newson
McGhee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
NewsonMcGhee
Strike Zones
Newson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMcGhee
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Newson targets the head (50% of attacks) — McGhee absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯McGhee targets the head (67% of attacks) — Newson absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Newson
RND
McGhee
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Newson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
McGhee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Newson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Marcus McGheeRating 4.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Sergey MorozovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Fernie GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Randy CostaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
Upcoming
Domingo PilarteUFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
McGhee · Last 5
Upcoming
Jakub WiklaczUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · KO · R2
Gaston BolanosRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
W · KO · R1
JP BuysRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08