UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
San Antonio, USA
20 Jul 2019
Heavyweight
VS
64%
Hardy
36%
Adams
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hardy
Hardy holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Adams has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Hardy throws more volume but Adams connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hardy's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Adams has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hardy
Adams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"
Height
6'5"
80"
Reach
80"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Adams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.7
16.4
47.8
Performance Avg
40.0
50
Quality of Victory
50
76
Momentum Score
43
Hardy
Adams
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
59%
8.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
31Ground0
Hardy
Adams
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hardy
Adams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
54
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/8 fights
Hardy
Adams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Hardy
Adams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hardy
Adams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
HardyAdams
Strike Zones
Hardy
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedAdams
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (97% of attacks) — Adams absorbs 97% of strikes there
🎯Adams targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hardy
RND
Adams
0/0R00/0
Hardy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Adams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Hardy · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · KO · R2
Maurice GreeneRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Yorgan De CastroRating 4.5Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
Adams · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R1
Greg HardyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Arjan BhullarRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · KO · R3
Chris de la RochaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12