METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2017
Featherweight
VS
49%
Maynard
51%
Ishihara
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Gray MaynardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Teruto Ishihara · The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ishihara
→
Actual result
Maynard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Maynard at 49% vs Ishihara at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ishihara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Maynard's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ishihara has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaynardIshihara
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maynard
Ishihara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
47
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Maynard
Ishihara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
14.1
41.4
Performance Avg
43.0
28
Quality of Victory
47
60
Momentum Score
13
Maynard
Ishihara
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
7.4
/ 10
2.5
Style: Pressure
5.8
8.5
Style: Volume
3.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
4Ground1
Maynard
Ishihara
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maynard
Ishihara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/17 fights
Maynard
Ishihara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
13
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Maynard
Ishihara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maynard
Ishihara
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
MaynardIshihara
Strike Zones
Maynard
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedIshihara
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maynard targets the body (100% of attacks) — Ishihara absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ishihara targets the head (100% of attacks) — Maynard absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maynard
RND
Ishihara
0/0R00/0
Maynard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Nik LentzKO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Ryan HallDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Fernando BrunoDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexander YakovlevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
Ishihara · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Kyung Ho KangSubmission
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Petr YanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Jose QuinonezDecision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Rolando DyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07