The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2017
Featherweight
VS
49%
Maynard
51%
Ishihara
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GM
Gray Maynard
13 – 7
5'9"70" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
TI
Teruto Ishihara
"Yashabo"
10 – 7
Striker3-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'7"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ishihara

This is a genuine toss-up — Maynard at 49% vs Ishihara at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ishihara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Ishihara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maynard's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ishihara has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maynard
Ishihara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
47
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Maynard
Ishihara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
14.1
41.4
Performance Avg
43.0
28
Quality of Victory
47
60
Momentum Score
13
Maynard
Ishihara
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
4Ground1
Maynard
Ishihara
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maynard
Ishihara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/17 fights
Maynard
Ishihara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
13
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Maynard
Ishihara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maynard
Ishihara
Striking2.1 / 7.4Volume8.5 / 3.4Grappling2.2 / 0.8Wrestling1.5 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.5 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Maynard
Strike Zones
Ishihara
Maynard
Attacking
0HEAD4BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Ishihara
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD4BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maynard targets the body (100% of attacks) — Ishihara absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ishihara targets the head (100% of attacks) — Maynard absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maynard
RND
Ishihara
0/0R00/0

Maynard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W3.4L5.0W1.5L1.5L2.8L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W2.8L2007-092009-092013-052016-122018-10
WinLossTrend

Ishihara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L3.0L2.4L2016-032016-112017-092018-062019-02
WinLossTrend

Maynard · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nik LentzRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Ryan HallRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Fernando BrunoRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexander YakovlevRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04

Ishihara · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Kyung Ho KangRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Petr YanRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Jose QuinonezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Rolando DyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07

News & Media

Gray Maynard · Teruto Ishihara
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