METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
New York City, USA
6 Nov 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
93%
Jacoby
7%
Allan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dustin JacobywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Allan · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jacoby
→
Actual result
Jacoby wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jacoby is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jacoby has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Risk flags
Jacoby's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacobyAllan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jacoby
Allan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
75"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jacoby
Allan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
4.2
52.3
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
91
Momentum Score
0
Jacoby
Allan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.6
Style: Volume
0.0
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
20
3
Body
2
7
Leg
5
RangeRange
48Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jacoby
Allan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jacoby
Allan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
3/20 fights
Jacoby
Allan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Jacoby
Allan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jacoby
Allan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JacobyAllan
Strike Zones
Jacoby
Attacking
48 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedAllan
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
48 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (79% of attacks) — Allan absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Allan targets the head (74% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jacoby
RND
Allan
0/0R00/0
Jacoby · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Muhammad SaidovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Allan · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyDecision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
Upcoming
Mike RodriguezUFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07