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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2017
Welterweight
VS
49%
Edwards
51%
Luque
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Leon
Leon Edwards
"Rocky"
22 – 6
6'2"74" reachSouthpaw35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Vicente
Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
24 – 12
Pressure Fighter34 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 60
β˜… Official Result
Leon EdwardswinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Vicente Luque Β· UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luque
β†’
Actual result
Edwards wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Edwards at 49% vs Luque at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Luque has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 14 points.

Risk flags

Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Luque has a chin rating of 32 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
EdwardsLuque
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Edwards
Luque
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Luque
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
59.9
51.1
Performance Avg
56.1
36
Quality of Victory
50
95
Momentum Score
79
Edwards
Luque
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
7.7
7.2
Style: Volume
2.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
8
8
Body
5
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
31Distance14
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Edwards
Luque
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.1
1
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Edwards
Luque
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
32
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
26/36 fights
Edwards
Luque
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
95
79
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R4
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Edwards
Luque
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
82%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
7
10
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edwards
Luque
Striking3.6 / 5.4Volume7.2 / 2.3Grappling2.3 / 3.6Wrestling1.6 / 2.5Submission0.7 / 4.1Pressure4.2 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.1
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Edwards
Strike Zones
Luque
Edwards
Attacking
26HEAD8BODY1LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Luque
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD8BODY1LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (74% of attacks) β€” Luque absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Luque targets the head (53% of attacks) β€” Edwards absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Edwards
RND
Luque
0/0R00/0

Edwards Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R2
Carlos Prates
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev Β· 2025-11
L Β· Sub Β· R4
Sean Brady
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady Β· 2025-03
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Belal Muhammad
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 Β· 2024-07
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Colby Covington
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington Β· 2023-12
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Kamaru Usman
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 Β· 2023-03

Luque Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Tresean Gore
Decision
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry Β· 2026-08
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Kelvin Gastelum
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg Β· 2026-04
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Joel Alvarez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot Β· 2025-10
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Kevin Holland
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 Β· 2025-06
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Themba Gorimbo
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura Β· 2024-12

News & Media

Leon Edwards Β· Vicente Luque
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