UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2020
Heavyweight
VS
82%
Boser
18%
Pessoa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:36
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Boser
Boser is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Boser has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Boser has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Boser's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pessoa has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Boser
Pessoa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+78"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boser
Pessoa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.4
10.5
44.6
Performance Avg
28.3
44
Quality of Victory
25
52
Momentum Score
33
Boser
Pessoa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
23%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
4
6
Body
1
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance7
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Boser
Pessoa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Boser
Pessoa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/33 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Boser
Pessoa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
33
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Boser
Pessoa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Boser
Pessoa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
BoserPessoa
Strike Zones
Boser
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedPessoa
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Boser targets the head (43% of attacks) — Pessoa absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Pessoa targets the head (57% of attacks) — Boser absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Boser
RND
Pessoa
0/0R00/0
Boser · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Pessoa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Boser · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Gokhan SaricamRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Aleksa CamurRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
W · KO · R2
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
Pessoa · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Jeff HughesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08