METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Hollywood, USA
25 Jan 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
89%
Evans
11%
Salmon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:06
★ Official Result
Rashad EvanswinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:06
def. Sean Salmon · UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Evans
→
Actual result
Evans wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Evans is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Evans has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Evans has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Salmon has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvansSalmon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans
Salmon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
46+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Evans
Salmon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
1.8
53.1
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
25
Momentum Score
0
Evans
Salmon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
0.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
25%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
6Clinch0
1Ground0
Evans
Salmon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Salmon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/39 fights
Evans
Salmon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
0
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Evans
Salmon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans
Salmon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
EvansSalmon
Strike Zones
Evans
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedSalmon
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (88% of attacks) — Salmon absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans
RND
Salmon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Evans · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Salmon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.1WinLossTrend
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
Salmon · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5Submission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01