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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Hollywood, USA
25 Jan 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
89%
Evans
11%
Salmon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:06
RE
Rashad Evans
"Suga"
198
6'0"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
SS
Sean Salmon
1821
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsSouthpaw5'10"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Rashad EvanswinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:06
def. Sean Salmon · UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Evans
Actual result
Evans wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Evans is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Evans has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.

Risk flags

Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Salmon has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
EvansSalmon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Evans
Salmon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
46+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Evans
Salmon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
1.8
53.1
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
25
Momentum Score
0
Evans
Salmon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.8
Style: Volume
0.0
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
6Clinch0
1Ground0
Evans
Salmon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Salmon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/39 fights
Evans
Salmon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
0
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Evans
Salmon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Evans
Salmon
Striking5.6 / 0.0Volume5.8 / 0.0Grappling1.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Evans
Strike Zones
Salmon
Evans
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Salmon
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (88% of attacks) — Salmon absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Evans
RND
Salmon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Evans · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anthony Smith
KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam Alvey
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel Kelly
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover Teixeira
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan Bader
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

Salmon · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Alan Belcher
Submission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
L · KO · R2
Rashad Evans
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01

News & Media

Rashad Evans · Sean Salmon
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