METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Jun 2017
Welterweight
VS
88%
Chagas
12%
Wallhead
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:48
★ Official Result
Luan ChagaswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:48
def. Jim Wallhead · UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chagas
→
Actual result
Chagas wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Chagas is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Chagas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Risk flags
Chagas's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChagasWallhead
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chagas
Wallhead
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
33+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chagas
Wallhead
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
2.4
43.0
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
43
Momentum Score
0
Chagas
Wallhead
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.7
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
40
Head
12
3
Body
4
10
Leg
0
RangeRange
49Distance15
1Clinch1
3Ground0
Chagas
Wallhead
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chagas
Wallhead
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/40 fights
Chagas
Wallhead
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Chagas
Wallhead
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chagas
Wallhead
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ChagasWallhead
Strike Zones
Chagas
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedWallhead
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chagas targets the head (75% of attacks) — Wallhead absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Wallhead targets the head (75% of attacks) — Chagas absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chagas
RND
Wallhead
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Chagas · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Siyar BahadurzadaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Jim WallheadSubmission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Sub · R3
Erick SilvaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
Upcoming
Sergio MoraesDecision
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
Wallhead · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Luan ChagasSubmission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariDecision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09