UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Jun 2017
Welterweight
VS
88%
Chagas
12%
Wallhead
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:48
LC
Luan Chagas
"Tarzan"
15 – 3
6'0"75" reachOrthodox32 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 17
JW
Jim Wallhead
"Judo"
29 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Chagas

Chagas is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Chagas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.

Chagas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Chagas's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Chagas
Wallhead
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
32+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chagas
Wallhead
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
2.4
43.0
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
43
Momentum Score
0
Chagas
Wallhead
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
24%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
40
Head
12
3
Body
4
10
Leg
0
RangeRange
49Distance15
1Clinch1
3Ground0
Chagas
Wallhead
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chagas
Wallhead
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/40 fights
Chagas
Wallhead
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Chagas
Wallhead
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chagas
Wallhead
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume0.7 / 0.0Grappling8.0 / 0.0Wrestling5.6 / 0.0Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Chagas
Strike Zones
Wallhead
Chagas
Attacking
40HEAD3BODY10LEGS53 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Wallhead
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
40HEAD3BODY10LEGS53 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chagas targets the head (75% of attacks) — Wallhead absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Wallhead targets the head (75% of attacks) — Chagas absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chagas
RND
Wallhead
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Chagas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.0L5.2W2.8L2016-092017-062018-04
WinLossTrend

Wallhead · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.5L2.8L2016-092017-06
WinLossTrend

Chagas · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Siyar BahadurzadaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Jim WallheadRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Sub · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
Upcoming
Sergio Moraes
Decision
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

Wallhead · Last 2

L · Sub · R2
Luan ChagasRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09

News & Media

Luan Chagas · Jim Wallhead
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