UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Austin, USA
15 Sept 2010
Welterweight
VS
71%
Foster
29%
Petz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:07
BF
CFR 23
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Foster
Foster is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Foster has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Foster has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Petz has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Foster
Petz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
71"
42+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Foster
Petz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.4
9.7
56.9
Performance Avg
26.4
55
Quality of Victory
25
85
Momentum Score
30
Foster
Petz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
26%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Foster
Petz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Foster
Petz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/37 fights
Chin rating based on
7/36 fights
Foster
Petz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
30
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Foster
Petz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Foster
Petz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
FosterPetz
Strike Zones
Foster
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPetz
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Foster targets the head (88% of attacks) — Petz absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Petz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Foster absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Foster
RND
Petz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Foster · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Petz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Foster · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6Submission
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · KO · R1
Forrest PetzRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
L · Sub · R1
Chris LytleRating 1.5Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Brock LarsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Sub · R2
Rick StoryRating 2.8Submission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
Petz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brian FosterRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RobertsRating 5.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
W · Dec · R3
Luigi FioravantiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06
L · Dec · R3
Kuniyoshi HironakaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04