UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
27 Aug 2011
Welterweight
VS
62%
Thiago
38%
Mitchell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Thiago
Thiago holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Mitchell has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Thiago has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Thiago throws more volume but Mitchell connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Thiago's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thiago
Mitchell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
45+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thiago
Mitchell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
8.4
37.5
Performance Avg
23.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
15
Thiago
Mitchell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.6
35%
Strike Accuracy
35%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
8
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Thiago
Mitchell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thiago
Mitchell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
5/29 fights
Thiago
Mitchell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Thiago
Mitchell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thiago
Mitchell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
ThiagoMitchell
Strike Zones
Thiago
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMitchell
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thiago targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mitchell absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mitchell targets the head (73% of attacks) — Thiago absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thiago
RND
Mitchell
0/0R00/0
Thiago · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Mitchell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Thiago · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Gasan UmalatovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 5.5Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
Mitchell · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yan CabralRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R2
Mike PierceRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Simeon ThoresenRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
TJ WaldburgerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09