Sean O'Malley vs Marlon Vera — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2

Miami, USA

9 Mar 2024

Bantamweight

56%

O'Malley

44%

Vera

Win Probability

Decision

Round 5 · 5:00

Sean O'Malley

"Suga"

19 – 3

5'11"72" reachSwitch31 yrs2-fight win streakStriker

CFR 66

Marlon Vera

"Chito"

23 – 12

Well-Rounded4-fight slide33 yrsSwitch70" reach5'8"

CFR 51

★ Official Result

Sean O'MalleywinsDecisionR5 · 5:00

def. Marlon Vera · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

O'Malley

→

Actual result

O'Malley wins

Decision · R5

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — O'Malley at 56% vs Vera at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

O'Malley's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

O'MalleyVera

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

O'Malley

Vera

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"+

Height

5'8"

72"+

Reach

70"

31+

Age

Switch

Stance

Switch

O'Malley

Vera

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

66.2

51.4

60.5

Performance Avg

50.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

O'Malley

Vera

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.4

/ 10

5.8

/ 10

6.5

Style: Pressure

6.9

4.9

Style: Volume

3.3

7 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

7 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

58Distance17

3Clinch4

0Ground0

O'Malley

Vera

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.0

/ 10

2.8

/ 10

0.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.9

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

2.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

O'Malley

Vera

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

11 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

16/22 fights

Chin rating based on

27/35 fights

O'Malley

Vera

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

W · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

O'Malley

Vera

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

58%

73%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

O'Malley

Vera

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.8

1.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.8

0.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.9

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.7

6.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.9

4.9

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.3

O'Malley

Strike Zones

Vera

O'Malley

Attacking

61 landed

Absorbing

21 absorbed

Vera

Attacking

21 landed

Absorbing

61 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯O'Malley targets the head (72% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 72% of strikes there

🎯Vera targets the head (52% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 52% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

O'Malley

RND

Vera

0/0R00/0

O'Malley · Last 5

W · KO · R2

Aiemann Zahabi

KO/TKO

UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06

W · Dec · R3

Song Yadong

Decision

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01

L · Sub · R3

Merab Dvalishvili

Submission

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06

L · Dec · R5

Merab Dvalishvili

Decision

UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

W · Dec · R5

Marlon Vera

Decision

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

Vera · Last 5

Upcoming

Charles Jourdain

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

L · Dec · R3

David Martinez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

L · Dec · R3

Aiemann Zahabi

Decision

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10

L · Dec · R3

Deiveson Figueiredo

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

L · Dec · R5

Sean O'Malley

Decision

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

News & Media

Sean O'Malley · Marlon Vera

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