★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Bantamweight
VS
56%
O'Malley
44%
Vera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Sean
Sean O'Malley
"Suga"
19 – 3
5'11"72" reachSwitch31 yrsStriker
CFR 65
Marlon
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23 – 12
Well-Rounded4-fight slide33 yrsSwitch70" reach5'8"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: O'Malley

This is a genuine toss-up — O'Malley at 56% vs Vera at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

O'Malley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

O'Malley's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

O'Malley
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
31+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Switch
O'Malley
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
51.4
59.5
Performance Avg
50.4
47
Quality of Victory
46
95
Momentum Score
39
O'Malley
Vera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.7
62%
Strike Accuracy
51%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
44
Head
11
16
Body
4
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
58Distance17
3Clinch4
0Ground0
O'Malley
Vera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.1
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
O'Malley
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
78
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
26/35 fights
O'Malley
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
O'Malley
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
73%
6
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

O'Malley
Vera
Striking7.0 / 5.8Volume5.2 / 3.3Grappling1.1 / 2.8Wrestling0.8 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 2.7Pressure6.2 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
O'Malley
Strike Zones
Vera
O'Malley
Attacking
44HEAD16BODY1LEGS61 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY6LEGS21 absorbed
Vera
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY6LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
44HEAD16BODY1LEGS61 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯O'Malley targets the head (72% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the head (52% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 52% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

O'Malley
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0

O'Malley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2.3L5.5W5.5W5.0W6.0W6.1W5.3W6.8L4.0L5.8W2017-122020-082022-102025-062026-01
WinLossTrend

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L5.2W6.3L4.5W5.5W5.3W5.5L5.7L5.2W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.5W6.8L6.5W6.0L5.3W5.5W5.7W5.4W7.0L5.0W7.0L6.6L6.6L7.2L2014-112018-022020-082023-082026-02
WinLossTrend

O'Malley · Last 5

Upcoming
Aiemann Zahabi
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 4
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R5
Marlon VeraRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

Vera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

Sean O'Malley · Marlon Vera
← Back to fights