UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Las Vegas, USA
19 Dec 2020
Bantamweight
VS
27%
Moraes
73%
Font
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:47
MM
Marlon Moraes
"Magic"
23 – 10
5'6"67" reachOrthodox38 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
Rob
Rob Font
22 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Font

Font is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Font has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moraes's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moraes
Font
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+71"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraes
Font
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
59.4
47.3
Performance Avg
49.1
49
Quality of Victory
44
20
Momentum Score
91
Moraes
Font
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
27
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance13
0Clinch1
1Ground16
Moraes
Font
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moraes
Font
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/33 fights
Chin rating based on
21/32 fights
Moraes
Font
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
91
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moraes
Font
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
58%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moraes
Font
Striking4.9 / 6.1Volume4.1 / 4.5Grappling2.6 / 1.7Wrestling1.8 / 1.2Submission2.0 / 0.8Pressure5.6 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Moraes
Strike Zones
Font
Moraes
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD3BODY0LEGS30 absorbed
Font
Attacking
27HEAD3BODY0LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (89% of attacks) — Font absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Font targets the head (90% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moraes
RND
Font
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Moraes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5L4.5W6.0W5.0W5.0W4.2L5.0W3.6L2.7L4.0L2.8L2017-062018-062019-122021-092022-03
WinLossTrend

Font · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.0W5.2W5.5L5.2W5.4W2.0L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.6W6.0L6.3L6.4W7.0L6.6L5.2W5.4W7.2L7.1L2014-072018-012021-122025-022026-03
WinLossTrend

Moraes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Song YadongRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Merab DvalishviliRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R1
Rob FontRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 5
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12

Font · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 7.1
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

News & Media

Marlon Moraes · Rob Font
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