METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
Austin, USA
18 Jun 2022
Middleweight
VS
62%
Hawes
38%
Winn
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:25
★ Official Result
Phil HaweswinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:25
def. Deron Winn · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hawes
→
Actual result
Hawes wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Hawes holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Winn has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hawes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Hawes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hawes's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Winn has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HawesWinn
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hawes
Winn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'6"
77"+
Reach
70"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hawes
Winn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
19.6
44.8
Performance Avg
31.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
13
Momentum Score
55
Hawes
Winn
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
1.5
59%
Strike Accuracy
41%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
56
Head
11
7
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
40Distance14
11Clinch1
12Ground0
Hawes
Winn
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hawes
Winn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
64
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
5/10 fights
Hawes
Winn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hawes
Winn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hawes
Winn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
HawesWinn
Strike Zones
Hawes
Attacking
63 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedWinn
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
63 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hawes targets the head (89% of attacks) — Winn absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Winn targets the head (73% of attacks) — Hawes absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hawes
RND
Winn
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hawes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Winn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Hawes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · KO · R2
Deron WinnRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Chris CurtisRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
Winn · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Phil HawesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Antonio ArroyoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.1Submission
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Darren StewartRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Eric SpicelyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06