METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
Austin, USA
18 Jun 2022
Middleweight
VS
58%
Hawes
42%
Winn
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:25
★ Official Result
Phil HaweswinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:25
def. Deron Winn · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hawes
→
Actual result
Hawes wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hawes at 58% vs Winn at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hawes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Hawes's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Winn has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HawesWinn
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hawes
Winn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'6"
77"+
Reach
70"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hawes
Winn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.9
19.6
44.8
Performance Avg
31.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
13
Momentum Score
55
Hawes
Winn
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
1.2
5.0
Style: Volume
8.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
56
Head
11
7
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
40Distance14
11Clinch1
12Ground0
Hawes
Winn
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hawes
Winn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
64
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
5/10 fights
Hawes
Winn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hawes
Winn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hawes
Winn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
HawesWinn
Strike Zones
Hawes
Attacking
63 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedWinn
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
63 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hawes targets the head (89% of attacks) — Winn absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Winn targets the head (73% of attacks) — Hawes absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hawes
RND
Winn
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hawes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · KO · R2
Deron WinnKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Chris CurtisKO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
Winn · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Phil HawesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Antonio ArroyoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gerald MeerschaertSubmission
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Darren StewartDecision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Eric SpicelyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06