UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
San Jose, USA
19 Nov 2011
Welterweight
VS
48%
Story
52%
Kampmann
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kampmann
This is a genuine toss-up — Story at 48% vs Kampmann at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Kampmann has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Story's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kampmann has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Story
Kampmann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+72"
41+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Story
Kampmann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
18.6
46.0
Performance Avg
52.1
35
Quality of Victory
44
65
Momentum Score
76
Story
Kampmann
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
8
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance7
8Clinch3
0Ground0
Story
Kampmann
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Story
Kampmann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
8
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
17/27 fights
Story
Kampmann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
76
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Story
Kampmann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
64%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
5
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Story
Kampmann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.5
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
StoryKampmann
Strike Zones
Story
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedKampmann
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Story targets the body (57% of attacks) — Kampmann absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Kampmann targets the head (90% of attacks) — Story absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Story
RND
Kampmann
0/0R00/0
Story · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Kampmann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Story · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
Kampmann · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Carlos ConditRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · KO · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 5.1KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
W · Sub · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5Submission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03
W · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 4.5Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11