UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
San Diego, USA
13 Aug 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
54%
Calvillo
46%
Nunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Calvillo
This is a genuine toss-up — Calvillo at 54% vs Nunes at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Calvillo throws more volume but Nunes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Calvillo's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Calvillo
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
64"
Reach
64"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Calvillo
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
25.7
42.8
Performance Avg
39.6
38
Quality of Victory
29
25
Momentum Score
70
Calvillo
Nunes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
11
12
Body
2
8
Leg
7
RangeRange
28Distance20
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Calvillo
Nunes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Calvillo
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
82
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/15 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Calvillo
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
70
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Calvillo
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Calvillo
Nunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
CalvilloNunes
Strike Zones
Calvillo
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedNunes
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Calvillo targets the body (41% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the head (55% of attacks) — Calvillo absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Calvillo
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0
Calvillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Calvillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
Nunes · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Cynthia CalvilloRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4Decision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Claudia GadelhaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07