UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Heavyweight
VS
59%
Parkin
41%
Pogues
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mick
Mick Parkin
10 – 1
6'4"79" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Jamal
Jamal Pogues
11 – 5
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Parkin

This is a genuine toss-up — Parkin at 59% vs Pogues at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Parkin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Parkin
Pogues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
77"
30
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Parkin
Pogues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.2
39.4
52.2
Performance Avg
35.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
50
Parkin
Pogues
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
4
11
Body
2
13
Leg
2
RangeRange
43Distance8
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Parkin
Pogues
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Parkin
Pogues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Parkin
Pogues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
50
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Parkin
Pogues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Parkin
Pogues
Striking4.1 / 1.0Volume7.6 / 9.0Grappling1.8 / 2.4Wrestling1.3 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
7.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Parkin
Strike Zones
Pogues
Parkin
Attacking
20HEAD11BODY13LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Pogues
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD11BODY13LEGS44 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Parkin targets the head (45% of attacks) — Pogues absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Pogues targets the head (50% of attacks) — Parkin absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Parkin
RND
Pogues
0/0R00/0

Parkin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.7W4.5W5.5W5.0W5.9L2023-072023-112024-032024-072025-03
WinLossTrend

Pogues · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.6W6.6L4.5W6.0L2023-022023-072024-022025-02
WinLossTrend

Parkin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

Pogues · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Hamdy AbdelwahabRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Josh ParisianRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02

News & Media

Mick Parkin · Jamal Pogues
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