UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Seattle, USA
26 Mar 2011
Middleweight
VS
48%
Miranda
52%
Simpson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MM
Mario Miranda
14 – 7
6'3"74" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 16
AS
Aaron Simpson
"A-Train"
12 – 5
Well-Rounded51 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Simpson

This is a genuine toss-up — Miranda at 48% vs Simpson at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Miranda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Miranda has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Simpson has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miranda
Simpson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
46+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miranda
Simpson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
17.5
43.0
Performance Avg
46.0
55
Quality of Victory
34
22
Momentum Score
76
Miranda
Simpson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
49%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
2
Body
1
0
Leg
13
RangeRange
0Distance1
6Clinch7
0Ground7
Miranda
Simpson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miranda
Simpson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/21 fights
Chin rating based on
11/17 fights
Miranda
Simpson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
76
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Miranda
Simpson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
29%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miranda
Simpson
Striking10.0 / 4.1Volume0.5 / 7.0Grappling0.0 / 1.7Wrestling0.0 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Miranda
Strike Zones
Simpson
Miranda
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY13LEGS15 absorbed
Simpson
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY13LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miranda targets the head (67% of attacks) — Simpson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Simpson targets the legs (87% of attacks) — Miranda absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miranda
RND
Simpson
0/0R00/0

Miranda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0101.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L2010-032010-062010-082011-03
WinLossTrend

Simpson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.4W4.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W2.8L2009-042010-062011-072012-072012-10
WinLossTrend

Miranda · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
David LoiseauRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Gerald HarrisRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03

Simpson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Mike PierceRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07

News & Media

Mario Miranda · Aaron Simpson
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