Ismael Bonfim vs Vinc Pichel — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

4 May 2024

Lightweight

49%

Bonfim

51%

Pichel

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Ismael Bonfim

"Marreta"

20 – 6

5'8"71" reachOrthodox30 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 38

Vinc Pichel

"From Hell"

14 – 5

Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"

CFR 40

★ Official Result

Ismael BonfimwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Vinc Pichel · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Pichel

→

Actual result

Bonfim wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Bonfim at 49% vs Pichel at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bonfim has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Risk flags

Bonfim's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pichel has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

BonfimPichel

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Bonfim

Pichel

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"

Height

+5'10"

71"

Reach

+72"

30+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Bonfim

Pichel

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

38.1

39.5

37.3

Performance Avg

41.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Bonfim

Pichel

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.7

/ 10

2.6

/ 10

4.5

Style: Pressure

2.8

4.7

Style: Volume

8.0

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

37Distance20

2Clinch0

2Ground1

Bonfim

Pichel

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.2

/ 10

2.1

/ 10

0.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.4

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Bonfim

Pichel

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

11 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

6/26 fights

Chin rating based on

12/19 fights

Bonfim

Pichel

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

L · Sub · R1

L · KO · R2

L · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Bonfim

Pichel

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

14%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bonfim

Pichel

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.6

1.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.1

0.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.4

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

4.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

2.8

4.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.0

Bonfim

Strike Zones

Pichel

Bonfim

Attacking

41 landed

Absorbing

21 absorbed

Pichel

Attacking

21 landed

Absorbing

41 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Bonfim targets the head (78% of attacks) — Pichel absorbs 78% of strikes there

🎯Pichel targets the head (57% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bonfim

RND

Pichel

0/0R00/0

Bonfim · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Axel Sola

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07

L · KO · R2

Chris Padilla

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

L · R1

Nazim Sadykhov

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

W · Dec · R3

Vinc Pichel

Decision

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

L · Sub · R1

Benoit Saint Denis

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

Pichel · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Rafa Garcia

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

L · Dec · R3

Ismael Bonfim

Decision

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

L · Dec · R3

Mark Madsen

Decision

UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04

W · Dec · R3

Austin Hubbard

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08

W · Dec · R3

Jim Miller

Decision

UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08

News & Media

Ismael Bonfim · Vinc Pichel

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