UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Oct 2020
Featherweight
VS
68%
Chikadze
32%
Morales
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Chikadze
Chikadze holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Morales has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Chikadze has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Morales throws more volume but Chikadze connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Morales has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Chikadze
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
73"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chikadze
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.4
25.6
49.5
Performance Avg
32.1
38
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
45
Chikadze
Morales
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
40%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
10
14
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance12
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Chikadze
Morales
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chikadze
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Chikadze
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Chikadze
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chikadze
Morales
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
ChikadzeMorales
Strike Zones
Chikadze
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMorales
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chikadze targets the head (45% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (83% of attacks) — Chikadze absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chikadze
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Chikadze · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Morales · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Chikadze · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin VallejosRating 4.9KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R5
Calvin KattarRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Morales · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris DuncanRating 6.8Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Uros MedicRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · Sub · R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2Submission
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Shane YoungRating 4.5Decision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10