UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Rotterdam, Netherlands
2 Sept 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
27%
Barroso
73%
Rakic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rakic
Rakic is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rakic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Rakic throws more volume but Barroso connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rakic has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Barroso
Rakic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+78"
46
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barroso
Rakic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
37.5
35.0
Performance Avg
43.8
25
Quality of Victory
37
55
Momentum Score
25
Barroso
Rakic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
0
Body
6
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
5Distance14
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Barroso
Rakic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barroso
Rakic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
30
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/20 fights
Barroso
Rakic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Barroso
Rakic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barroso
Rakic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
BarrosoRakic
Strike Zones
Barroso
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedRakic
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barroso targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Rakic targets the body (40% of attacks) — Barroso absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barroso
RND
Rakic
0/0R00/0
Barroso · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Rakic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Barroso · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 5.5Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Darren StewartRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
Upcoming
Darren StewartUFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Nikita KrylovRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
Rakic · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Thiago SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
