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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Rotterdam, Netherlands
2 Sept 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
26%
Barroso
74%
Rakic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FB
Francimar Barroso
"Bodao"
197
6'1"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
Aleksandar
Aleksandar Rakic
"Rocket"
146
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 38
★ Official Result
Aleksandar RakicwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Francimar Barroso · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rakic
Actual result
Rakic wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Rakic is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rakic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Risk flags

Rakic has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BarrosoRakic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Barroso
Rakic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+78"
46
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barroso
Rakic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
38.3
35.0
Performance Avg
44.3
25
Quality of Victory
35
55
Momentum Score
30
Barroso
Rakic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
3.8
9.0
Style: Volume
6.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
0
Body
6
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
5Distance14
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Barroso
Rakic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barroso
Rakic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
30
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
9/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Barroso
Rakic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Barroso
Rakic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barroso
Rakic
Striking1.0 / 4.0Volume9.0 / 6.9Grappling2.4 / 1.7Wrestling1.7 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Barroso
Strike Zones
Rakic
Barroso
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY4LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD6BODY4LEGS15 absorbed
Rakic
Attacking
5HEAD6BODY4LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY4LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barroso targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Rakic targets the body (40% of attacks) — Barroso absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barroso
RND
Rakic
0/0R00/0

Barroso · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gian Villante
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar Rakic
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Darren Stewart
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
Upcoming
Darren Stewart
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Nikita Krylov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

Rakic · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marcin Tybura
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Azamat Murzakanov
KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed Ankalaev
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri Prochazka
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan Blachowicz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05

News & Media

Francimar Barroso · Aleksandar Rakic
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