METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Las Vegas, USA
17 Sept 2022
Lightweight
VS
95%
Motta
5%
VanCamp
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:49
★ Official Result
Nikolas MottawinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:49
def. Cameron VanCamp · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Motta
→
Actual result
Motta wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Motta is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Motta has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Risk flags
Motta's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
VanCamp has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MottaVanCamp
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Motta
VanCamp
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'2"
70"
Reach
+74"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Motta
VanCamp
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.4
2.5
49.0
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
41
Momentum Score
0
Motta
VanCamp
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.7
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
7
1
Body
4
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance15
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Motta
VanCamp
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Motta
VanCamp
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Motta
VanCamp
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Motta
VanCamp
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Motta
VanCamp
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MottaVanCamp
Strike Zones
Motta
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedVanCamp
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Motta targets the head (92% of attacks) — VanCamp absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯VanCamp targets the head (47% of attacks) — Motta absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Motta
RND
VanCamp
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Motta · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Nazim SadykhovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
MaheshateDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Tom NolanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Trey OgdenUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
VanCamp · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Nikolas MottaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
L · KO · R1
Andre FialhoKO/TKO
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05