UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Welterweight
VS
30%
Garcia
70%
McGee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AG
Alex Garcia
"The Dominican Nightmare"
15 – 6
5'9"72" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
Court
Court McGee
"The Crusher"
23 – 14
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McGee

McGee is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

McGee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

McGee has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Garcia
McGee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+75"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garcia
McGee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
38.7
46.3
Performance Avg
40.1
44
Quality of Victory
36
40
Momentum Score
50
Garcia
McGee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.6
32%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
13
3
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
4Clinch0
3Ground14
Garcia
McGee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Garcia
McGee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
14
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/21 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Garcia
McGee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Garcia
McGee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
27%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garcia
McGee
Striking5.0 / 0.9Volume4.2 / 6.7Grappling2.6 / 3.9Wrestling1.8 / 2.8Submission2.0 / 2.7Pressure5.7 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Garcia
Strike Zones
McGee
Garcia
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
McGee
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the head (56% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯McGee targets the head (81% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garcia
RND
McGee
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.1L5.0W5.6L6.2W5.5L5.7L2013-122015-072017-062018-10
WinLossTrend

McGee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W5.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.4W5.5L4.5W2.0L4.5W5.5L6.6L4.5W5.5L6.6L5.5L4.5W6.0W2.9L1.9L5.5L5.1W6.3L2010-062013-082017-112022-012025-06
WinLossTrend

Garcia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12

McGee · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Jeremiah WellsRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06

News & Media

Alex Garcia · Court McGee
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