METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
11 Nov 2023
Flyweight
VS
71%
Van
29%
Borjas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Joshua VanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kevin Borjas · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Van
→
Actual result
Van wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Van is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Borjas has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VanBorjas
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Van
Borjas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+68"
24+
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Van
Borjas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.6
28.2
63.7
Performance Avg
34.7
46
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
10
Van
Borjas
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
0.9
6.6
Style: Volume
8.6
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
17
17
Body
5
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
59Distance23
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Van
Borjas
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Van
Borjas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
40
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/19 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Van
Borjas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
10
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Van
Borjas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Van
Borjas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
VanBorjas
Strike Zones
Van
Attacking
59 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedBorjas
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
59 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Van targets the head (63% of attacks) — Borjas absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Borjas targets the head (68% of attacks) — Van absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Van
RND
Borjas
0/0R00/0
Van · Last 5
Upcoming
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Borjas · Last 5
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