UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
11 Nov 2023
Flyweight
VS
75%
Van
25%
Borjas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Van
Van is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Van has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Van has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Borjas has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Van
Borjas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+68"
24+
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Van
Borjas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.8
22.3
62.6
Performance Avg
23.0
44
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
15
Van
Borjas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
1.1
59%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
17
17
Body
5
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
59Distance23
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Van
Borjas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Van
Borjas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Van
Borjas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
15
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Van
Borjas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Van
Borjas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
VanBorjas
Strike Zones
Van
Attacking
59 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedBorjas
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
59 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Van targets the head (63% of attacks) — Borjas absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Borjas targets the head (68% of attacks) — Van absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Van
RND
Borjas
0/0R00/0
Van · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Borjas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Van · Last 5
W · KO · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rei TsuruyaRating 4.7Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
Borjas · Last 5
Upcoming
Andre LimaUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Imanol RodriguezRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
SumudaerjiRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ronaldo RodriguezRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Alessandro CostaRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05