UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Atlantic City, USA
22 Jun 2012
Featherweight
VS
30%
Hioki
70%
Lamas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lamas
Lamas is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lamas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Lamas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hioki's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lamas has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hioki
Lamas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
71"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hioki
Lamas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.0
20.7
30.0
Performance Avg
52.0
25
Quality of Victory
44
10
Momentum Score
98
Hioki
Lamas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
2
Body
4
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hioki
Lamas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hioki
Lamas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
28
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/39 fights
Chin rating based on
17/28 fights
Hioki
Lamas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Hioki
Lamas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
64%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hioki
Lamas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
HiokiLamas
Strike Zones
Hioki
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedLamas
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hioki targets the head (71% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Lamas targets the head (46% of attacks) — Hioki absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hioki
RND
Lamas
0/0R00/0
Hioki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Lamas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hioki · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Ivan MenjivarRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12