UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
14 May 2022
Lightweight
VS
62%
Johnson
38%
Patrick
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:22
Michael
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
25 – 20
5'10"73" reachSouthpaw39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
AP
Alan Patrick
"Nuguette"
15 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw74" reach5'11"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Patrick has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Patrick has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Johnson
Patrick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
73"
Reach
+74"
39+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Patrick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
22.8
42.5
Performance Avg
41.4
38
Quality of Victory
32
35
Momentum Score
58
Johnson
Patrick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.7
39%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
5
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance9
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Johnson
Patrick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Patrick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/45 fights
Chin rating based on
10/19 fights
Johnson
Patrick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
58
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Johnson
Patrick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
20%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Patrick
Striking4.8 / 3.1Volume6.0 / 7.5Grappling1.5 / 1.9Wrestling1.1 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
Johnson
Strike Zones
Patrick
Johnson
Attacking
13HEAD5BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Patrick
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD5BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (68% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Patrick targets the head (33% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Patrick
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W6.5L5.5L6.3W4.0L3.7L3.2L5.2W4.5W4.1L5.5L3.0L6.0L5.2W5.7L4.6W3.8L5.3W6.0W4.9W4.0L2010-122013-082017-072022-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Patrick · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L6.2L2.8L2013-102016-032018-102022-05
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

Patrick · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
Upcoming
Mason Jones
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · KO · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

News & Media

Michael Johnson · Alan Patrick
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